Entering the 2018 NFL season and dating back to 2006 when Thursday night football began, NFL home teams have compiled 71 winners versus 61 losses ATS. This ledger includes the Thanksgiving day games where Detroit and Dallas are the usual home team suspects. The results make sense because sound reasoning would indicate that the very short week of preparation would strongly favor the home team.
Further investigation shows home dogs are only 24 wins and 29 losses ATS. This means home favorites are a robust 47 wins versus only 32 losses ATS for 59.5% winners.
But, the real gem is NFL home favorites coming off a SU loss have covered 19 out of 28 ATS (67.9%) on Thursdays. During the 2019 NFL season, the winning trend continued with ATS wins in week 3 with the Browns and week 9 with the 49ers. Week 11 showed a push with the Seahawks. The ledger now shows 21 wins and 9 losses ATS (70%) for this Thursday night football scenario.