Part 3 – Contrary to Ordinary

Considering sports betting from a different perspective is paramount in beating the pointspread on a consistent basis. There is a reason that most sports handicappers and bettors fail to win 52.4% or better of the plays. Too many handicapping approaches lead to an uneducated distortion of the facts which is essentially guessing. Successful handicapping avoids the mainstream thought processes that involve attempts at predicting certainty. NFL and NBA handicapping should not be based on a calculated final score between the opponents to predict pointspread outcomes. But rather the decision making process should focus on the inherent uncertainty of it all; that is, when to back or fade teams based on the net rating and pointspread. When is a superior rated team more prone to dominate the opposition and cover or play down to the opposition and fail to cover?