All NFL Picks are either bounce or bargain plays. Refer to The PRD and Beating the NFL & NBA Pointspread article under the Handicapping & Betting heading for background information.
The Overmatched Home Dog has a greater negative power rating differential (PRD) than typically found for an average home dog. Its a home dog that appears a solid touchdown to 10 points worst than its road favorite foe and the feeble home team has a significant minus net turnover ratio compared to its road opponent.
Over the last 6 years, the Overmatched Home Dog has duped much of the betting public by posting a pointspread record of 32 wins against 16 losses. This is a substantial 67% pointspread winning percentage with an average of 8 plays per season.
The PRD indicates the road favorite could clearly dominate in this matchup. Historical results prove otherwise as the inferior home dog cashes the majority of the time. Back the home dog to bounce up in a big way. PLAY ON the Overmatched Home Dog.