NBA Play – Rest & Travel

Based on the article about NBA rest and travel, a real interesting ATS play surfaces when an NBA team is playing a home game following a road trip and coming off a SU win in the last road game. Since 2002-2003 through the 2018-2019 season, NBA home teams have 200 wins against 249 losses ATS which equates to a paltry 44.5% winning percentage versus the pointspread. Furthermore, the ATS performance is worse when you eliminate the games where the opponent is playing back to back (another counterintuitive play). Exclusion of the road opponent playing back to back yields 128 wins against 182 losses ATS for a dismal 41.3% ATS winning percentage. The trend has 61 wins versus 85 losses ATS (41.8%) in the last three NBA seasons. This play against the home team in this rest and travel situation is worth future consideration.